“Since Donald Trump effectively wrapped up the Republican nomination this month, I’ve seen a lot of critical self-assessments from empirically minded journalists — FiveThirtyEight included, tw…”
I read this and couldn’t help thinking of the rise of the Mule in Isaac Asimov’s book ‘Foundation and Empire’. The Mule wasn’t predicted by Hari Seldon in the book and the pundits and pollsters didn’t predict Trump. Panic ensued in the book and now in real life.
Source: How I Acted Like A Pundit And Screwed Up On Donald Trump
